Acadia National Park Arches National Park Badlands National Park Big Bend National Park Biscayne National Park Black Canyon of the Gunnison National Park Bryce Canyon National Park Canyonlands National Park Capitol Reef National Park Carlsbad Caverns National Park Channel Islands National Park Congaree National Park Crater Lake National Park Cuyahoga Valley National Park Death Valley National Park Denali National Park and Preserve Everglades National Park Gates of the Arctic National Park and Preserve Glacier Bay National Park and Preserve Glacier National Park Grand Canyon National Park Grand Teton National Park Great Basin National Park Great Sand Dunes National Park and Preserve Great Smoky Mountains National Park Guadalupe Mountains National Park Hot Springs National Park Isle Royale National Park Joshua Tree National Park Katmai National Park and Preserve Kenai Fjords National Park Kobuk Valley National Park Lake Clark National Park and Preserve Lassen Volcanic National Park Mammoth Cave National Park Mesa Verde National Park Mount Rainier National Park North Cascades National Park Olympic National Park Petrified Forest National Park Pinnacles National Park Redwood National Park Rocky Mountain National Park Saguaro National Park Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks Shenandoah National Park Theodore Roosevelt National Park Voyageurs National Park Wind Cave National Park Wrangell-St. Elias National Park and Preserve Yellowstone National Park Yosemite National Park Zion National Park
Arches National Park, located in eastern Utah near the Colorado River, is a high-desert environment with riparian corridors and ephemeral pools that comprise important habitat for birds that live in or migrate through the arid landscape. By 2050, 16 bird species, including the Yellow-breasted Chat and Great Blue Heron which currently congregate around streams, could be extirpated in summer. The park’s climate could become suitable for 50 new species in winter, including several woodpecker species more typical of the arid open country of the southwest. It is recommended that park managers monitor data on the discharge of springs to prioritize sites for protection and restoration.
  • summer
  • winter

Suitable climate for these species is currently available in the park. This list is derived from National Park Service Inventory & Monitoring data and eBird observations. Note, however, there are still imperfections in these datasets.

These are species that may find the new climate conditions of this park suitable by 2050. But projected changes in climate suitability are not definitive predictions of future species ranges or abundances. Numerous other factors affect where species occur, including habitat quality, food abundance, species adaptability, and the availability of microclimates.

Within this park, suitable climate for these birds ceases to occur by 2050. Species may either adapt to the park’s new climate or may follow suitable climate elsewhere.

Suitable climate for these species is currently available in the park. This list is derived from National Park Service Inventory & Monitoring data and eBird observations. Note, however, there are still imperfections in these datasets.

These are species that may find the new climate conditions of this park suitable by 2050. But projected changes in climate suitability are not definitive predictions of future species ranges. Numerous other factors affect where species occur, including habitat quality, food abundance, species adaptability, and the availability of microclimates.

Within this park, suitable climate for these birds ceases to occur by 2050. Species may either adapt to the park’s new climate or may follow suitable climate elsewhere.

This Park in Context

The extent of turnover, potential colonization, and potential extirpation varies among the 53 national parks featured on this website. Below, see how this park compares to others in summer and winter. Click on a circle to explore results for another park.

  • Summer
  • Winter